Taxmageddon—Are You Prepared?

April 17th is a month behind us now and hopefully your accountant had some well-deserved rest and relaxation because the uncertainty surrounding future tax law will probably lead them to a few sleepless nights between now and year-end.  Some tax provisions, like qualified charitable IRA distributions, have already expired while the current income and capital gains tax rates are set to expire at the end of this year.  Here’s a list of some of the more common expiring and new tax provisions.

The politics of a presidential election year and an obstinate Congress make trying to predict how they will address the potential tax increases and spending cuts pure speculation, especially with the headwinds facing the global economy.  No action could lead to something the New York Times referred to as “taxmageddon.”  But as we saw in 2010, a deal could be reached in late December that retroactively affects any tax planning done that year as well as changes the future tax landscape.

So what should you do?  This is a great time of year to do some big picture financial planning. 

This is the time of year to ask your accountant for advice, not April 13th and not December 27th

Take stock of your current situation by projecting what your income and tax situation is likely to be under current law.  Then start to think about some of the strategies you could use to address potential tax code changes, including:

Could it make sense to bring income forward?  E.g., recognizing income, incentive compensation, stock options, or capital gains (including the sale of a business) this year instead of a future year; reconsidering a Roth conversion; distributing C-corp dividends.

Could it make sense to delay itemized deductions like charitable contributions if your tax rate will be higher in a future year?  Or could it make sense to accelerate itemized deductions if you may be affected by the itemized deduction phase-out rule? 

Could it make sense to change ownership of certain assets for income or estate tax purposes?  E.g., equalizing estates for unmarried partners, gifting to younger generations outright or through trusts, or moving tax-inefficient investments to tax-deferred accounts.

Of course, it is important not to get overzealous and let the “tax tail wag the dog.”  Decisions need to be made with a holistic view of your particular financial and tax situation over a period of years.

And I hear accountants scream “Remember Section 4981A” like Texans yelled “Remember the Alamo,” where individuals with substantial IRAs took early distributions to avoid an excise tax included in the Tax Reform Act of 1986 only to have existing balances excluded from the tax.

So although you may implement any tax-saving strategies today, a little planning now will make you better prepared to deal with whatever may lie ahead.

 

NOTE:  For your reading pleasure, see the Joint Committee on Taxation’s report detailing a list of 140+ expiring tax provisions.

Today is April 17th, do you feel a tremendous burden off your shoulders?

Today is April 17, do you feel a tremendous weight is off your shoulders?

This isn’t just because you got your 2011 tax return submitted before tonight’s midnight filing deadline; today is also National Tax Freedom Day, according to the non-partisan research organization The Tax Foundation.    The fact that the two fall on the same day is quite coincidental, as Tax Freedom Day has ranged from January 19th (most recently in 1913) to May 1st (2000).

So just what is Tax Freedom Day?  It is the day to which Americans, in aggregate, have worked just to pay off our total (federal, state, and local) tax bills for the year, including personal income taxes, payroll taxes, corporate income taxes, property taxes and sales taxes.  We get to keep what we make for the remaining 258 days.

I found the state-by-state breakdown very interesting, which points to the day when the residents of each state have finally earned enough to pay all of their taxes for the year.   Our home state of Ohio is April 12th, five days earlier than the national average and the same as the state of Florida, which has no state income tax. 

Hang on a second, aren’t Ohio retirees longing to become Florida residents in part to escape Ohio taxation?  What gives?  Well, the short answer is that each state’s Tax Freedom Day is not particularly a good assessment of the tax burden of any individual taxpayer.  Florida’s higher average income (think LeBron James and Oprah Winfrey) leads them to pay more under a highly progressive Federal tax in aggregate, which is what the Tax Foundation is attempting to quantify.

What I have found more useful for clients trying to understand the tax impact of moving or taking up residence in another state in retirement was a resource produced by retirementliving.com, which also provides links to more detailed information. 

Of course, we believe that residence decision should be primarily based on lifestyle choice rather than taxes, but it is extremely important to at least understand the financial impact on your financial goals.  For example, based on the assumptions in one particular client situation, we estimated the impact of moving from a higher tax state to a lower tax state would increase the likelihood they would achieve all of their financial goals by only 2 percentage points, but that their net wealth would increase by almost 15% in the median scenario.

Every client situation is unique but one thing is consistent.  Total cash flow need is a significant determinant in your ability to make your money last your lifetime and accomplish other long-term financial goals.  The cost of underestimating expenses can significantly impact the range of expected outcomes.  And as I stated in Lessons We Will Likely Learn, taxes matter. 

For another interesting perspective on the 3.8 million words that make up our tax code here on Tax Day, please read Dan Ariely’s blog.

New Year’s Resolution: Conversations About Care

The holidays can be a wonderful time when we gather with family and friends, but it can also be a time when we witness the aging process first hand.  Just this past week, my dad began to ponder about how much longer he and my mom might be able to host the family for Christmas – that it is just beginning to be too much for them.  It made me reminisce about when my parents took over the duties from my grandparents and then the care my mom provided to my grandmother dealing with Alzheimer’s in her later years.

Why am I sharing this?  Well, it all reminded me of a blog I recently read from a local law firm about “the promise” we sometimes make to our parents that we will never put them in a nursing home.  As much as we would like to believe our parents can live out their golden years in their own home, at times, some other level of care is necessary for the well-being of the parent and/or the caregiver.

I can identify with and appreciate Terry’s perspective on the role of caregivers and the support they need.  They face difficult decisions that will impact the parent as well as the rest of the family, but those decisions can be just a little bit easier to have some of those tough conversations ahead of time.

Although we have already had preliminary discussions about planning for her long-term care, it might be much tougher to convince my mom to concede hosting Christmas.

Best wishes to all on a happy and healthy 2012!

For more information:

“Caring for an Aging Parent,” an article about developing a long-term plan for elder care.

Children of Aging Parents, a website to help caregivers cope and provide support and information.

The Alzheimer’s Association, a website to help caregivers learn more about Alzheimer’s Disease and provide support, resources and care information.

Make an Educated Decision about Education

Recently, President Obama announced a plan that seeks to help an estimated 5.8 million borrowers pay back their federal student loans (click here for more information).  Some of the statistics regarding student loans are just staggering – including the New York Fed’s estimation that the total amount of student loan debt outstanding will exceed $1 trillion in 2011, which surpasses the total credit card debt outstanding.

While staggering, I can understand how it happens.  Recently, I ran some calculations to see how much I might need to save to cover the ever-rising costs of college for my newborn son Adam.  If I wanted to fully cover the cost of a place like Kenyon College (he’ll be a swimmer) which currently costs about $53,000 for tuition, room & board, I would need to save between $1000 and $1500 every month for the next 18 years!  That’s just not doable for many families trying to save for multiple kids and for their own retirement.

At the same time, I’ve heard today’s kids have been referred to as “trophy generation,” where participation alone can be enough to get an award; they have been told that if they just try hard, the world will be at their fingertips.  Their parents feel the need to provide them with every opportunity to succeed no matter what the cost.  This includes taking on debt to allow them to attend the school of their choice or a more prestigious institution, with the belief that when they graduate, the opportunities will be limitless.  However, as we are now learning, that accumulated debt burden can be a heavy weight that limits the flexibility and lifestyle post-graduation.

Overall, I believe a student loan is one of the few good types of debt as it is an investment that can help your child build long-term wealth (see lesson #9 of Eleven Lessons Learned).  However, you have to consider whether you are getting a reasonable return on that investment.  Does it really make sense to go to high-priced private college if your child plans to pursue a less than highly-paid career?  There are certainly non-monetary benefits that can be provided, but are they truly worth it for the additional cost (and debt) you are likely to incur?

I know it won’t be easy, but I just hope my family can remain practical when it comes to discussing the value we get for the price we pay.

Social Security’s impact on the national debt

When asked by the Plain Dealer about what shouldn’t be part of the debt ceiling debate back in August, Dennis Kucinich responded: Any reductions to Social Security, “which has nothing to do with the debt.”  I know, I know, maybe that’s just “Dennis being Dennis,” but I think it is a belief held by many people. 

The fact of the matter is while it may not have significantly contributed to the burgeoning debt we have today (actually, surpluses helped reduce the annual deficit for many years), Social Security began to have a negative impact on the deficit starting in 2010; anything that contributes to a deficit in a given year also adds to the overall debt level. 

Beginning in 2010, program expenses (retiree benefits and administrative costs) were not fully covered by payroll taxes alone.  This was in large part due to the temporary payroll tax reduction in 2010 and extended through 2011 and by the fact that high unemployment meant less payroll tax was being collected.

This shortfall will need to be drawn from the Social Security trust fund.  However, since the trust fund is essentially an accounting entry, the difference has to be made up out of the revenues from the general budget.  Thus the government will be required to increase revenue, reducing spending in the rest of government, or increase borrowing from the public (i.e., increase the debt).

The latest report from the Social Security’s Board of Trustee’s (May 2011) indicated that while the gap will narrow when the payroll tax reduction expires, it projects the shortfall will continue indefinitely and payroll taxes will only cover about 77% of scheduled benefits by 2036.  Thus while the impact on current federal budget deficit is modest, the Social Security system will place a growing burden on the general budget.

No doubt, considering changes to entitlement programs is an emotionally charged issue and could amount to political suicide.  While fixing Social Security will not resolve the larger scale national debt issues, the current course is not sustainable and only adds to our long-term debt problems.  The sooner the shortfall is addressed, the sooner the system can be put back on a course to last another 75 years and keep its promise as a safety net for older Americans.